Copyright 2023 CBS Interactive Inc. All rights reserved. The 2016 Marquette poll showed a full 30 percent of respondents didn't know enough about Johnson to form a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him. Mandela Barnes is maintaining a slight edge over Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson just more than two months from the November election. The results are a jump from September, when polls showed Johnson polling just 1 percentage point ahead of Barnes, but are still within the surveys margin of sampling error. More from. Sen. Ron Johnson is leading Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes in a new poll of the Wisconsin Senate race released Wednesday. Barnes focused much of his closing message hammering Johnson over his opposition to abortion rights an issue Democrats across the country had hoped would energize their base in the midterms following the Supreme Courts reversal of Roe v. Wade in June. (Photo by Three Lions/Hulton Archive/Getty Images) OAN Deven BerryhillUPDATED 6:45 PM PT - Monday, February 27, 2023 A well-known British newspaper recently . Mandela Barnes speaks to supporters during his campaign for U.S. Senate on Saturday, Oct. 8, 2022, in Middleton, Wis. Angela Major/WPR. Wisconsin Lt. Gov. Ukraine News. "But what I will say, unfortunately, it's still so close. (AP Photo/Morry Gash) Among the slightly larger sample of 802 registered voters, Johnson maintains 48% support. Well over half (57 percent) of voters in the state said they disapproved of the job Biden is doing as president, and only 40 percent approved. Supporters wait for Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., to speak at an election night party in Neenah, Wis., Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. Ron Johnson's Road to Reelection Is Getting Bumpy. Barnes, 35, has seen his chances of unseating Sen. Johnson shrink by the day as crime becomes the central focus of their Senate race Democratic candidate Mandela Barnes, the state's. At the beginning of the election cycle, Johnson was seen as one of the most vulnerable Republican incumbents in the U.S. Senate. Wisconsin Governor Tony Evers is a Democrat who won the office in 2018. The Republican incumbent had a slight lead in the closing weeks of the campaign, with a CBS News poll from October showing him with a one-point lead over Barnes, though other polls showed Johnson with a larger lead. The Associated Press called the race for Johnson at 11:46 a.m. Wednesday as the senator led Barnes by 27,374 votes. U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson is increasing his lead over Lt. Gov. Only 16 percent had an unfavorable view of the Democratic lieutenant governor, compared with 46 percent who said the same of the GOP senator. By clicking Sign up, you agree to receive marketing emails from Insider In the new poll, registered Wisconsin voters said the issue they were most concerned about was inflation, followed by public schools, gun violence, abortion policy and crime. Lasry, Mandela's next leading opponent in the Democratic senate primary, does not beat Johnson in a head to head. In early October, Barnes launched a "Ron Against Roe" tour of Wisconsin to highlight Johnson's longtime support for national abortion bans. You've successfully subscribed to this newsletter! Johnson, a former plastics executive and political ally of former President Donald Trump, has long tacked to the right in his voting record while representing Wisconsin a swing state that nonetheless retains a robust conservative base. The. The man leading the charge to unseat Johnson this year is the polar opposite of the millionaire Boomer conservative: Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes, a 35-year-old Black former community organizer. In response to the August polls, a spokesperson for Barnes' campaign said the results show that "Wisconsin voters know how Ron Johnson has spent his decade-plus in office enriching himself and his wealthy donors on the backs of their hard work.". Those results weren't far off from a Marquette University Law School poll on Aug. 17, showing Barnes beating Johnson 51 percent to 44 percent among likely midterm voters. Recent polling shows Lt. Gov. The poll from Marquette Law School suggests Johnson, a two-term incumbent, is leading Barnes, the states lieutenant governor, among likely voters by 6 percentage points 52% to 46%. Stay informed with WPR's email newsletter. Johnson got a boost from voters'. At Johnson's election night watch party in Neenah, the crowd was in high spirits throughout the evening giving loud cheers as they watched Fox News election coverage of the race. Barnes led Johnson 49.4 percent to 47.1 percent. Johnson was also significantly underwater with 47 percent of voters expressing an unfavorable opinion of the senator and 38 percent saying they had a favorable opinion. In the June poll released by Marquette Law School testing each candidate's strength against Johnson, Barnes hits or approaches those benchmarks, while Lasry falls far short of the numbers needed . The Democrat became the state's first Black lieutenant governor when he took office in 2019. Yorkshire Post. The Marquette Law Poll was conducted from Oct. 24 to Nov. 1 via landline and cell phone. Mandela Barnes. "He's not in a place, in terms of his favorability and unfavorability numbers, where an incumbent senator would want to be," Chergosky said. Barnes enjoyed a 4-point lead over Johnson if the election were held today among all registered voters, and a 2-point lead in favorability. At right, Barnes offers his state's votes to nominate Joe Biden for president at the 2020 Democratic Convention. Barnes' lead was within the polls' 2.9 percent margin of error. Barnes sought. Since then, Johnson has hired one of Wisconsin's 10 fake electors to work for his reelection campaign, and he's spent more than $20,000 for legal consultation with a Wisconsin law firm that assisted former President Donald Trump's efforts to overturn the state's 2020 election results. Wisconsin has been viewed as a swing state in recent elections but has generally gone for Democratic presidential candidates in elections going back to 1988. Vermont Peter Welch (D) vs. Gerald Malloy (R) 34. Republican strategist Brian Schimming addressed the crowd a couple of times, telling them the Johnson campaign was waiting for a national call on the race. ", Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., speaks to supporters after arriving at an election night party in Neenah, Wis., Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. Mandela Barnes Plagued by Misleading Attacks with Racist Undertones in His Bid to Unseat GOP Sen. Ron Johnson Wisconsin Lt. Gov. Get browser notifications for breaking news, live events, and exclusive reporting. National media reports say the red wave that Republicans hoped for in this years midterm elections has been downgraded to more of a trickle. ", "And if anybody wants predictions, my advice would be just flip a coin and you've got a 50/50 chance of being right," Lee said. The lieutenant governor and former State Assembly member is expected to face a difficult campaign as he seeks to unseat Johnson, who has served in the Senate since 2011. Adam Edelman is a political reporter for NBC News. 2023 by Wisconsin Public Radio, a service of the Wisconsin Educational Communications Board and the University of Wisconsin-Madison. S en. "In 2016, they were almost all wrong and Ron Johnson pulled off the biggest surprise in Wisconsin Political History," said the statement. Johnson leads with men and older voters.. (AP Photo/Morry Gash). Show us your political mailers! Leaders expect it to keep growing. The Marquette Law School survey has Johnson racking up support of 52 percent of likely voters compared with Barnes 46 percent. Among the slightly larger sample of 802 registered voters, Johnson maintains 48% support versus Barnes' 45% support. However, in 2016 former President Donald Trump narrowly carried the state with a margin of about 0.7 percent. This year, Johnson is the only incumbent Republican senator running for reelection in a state President Biden won in 2020. 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That means Barnes' narrow lead is well within the survey's margin of error. 'The most vulnerable Republican incumbent' The Barnes strategy is to define Johnson as a changed man, someone who went to Washington as an insurgent candidate but then enmeshed himself into the. Barnes to overcome his 27,374 vote deficit. Mandela Barnes. The poll surveyed 803 registered voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.3 percent. We want to bring transparency to the elections process by shining a light on how campaigns and outside groups are using political mailers to talk to voters. Incumbent Republican Sen. Ron Johnson is widening the gap over his Democratic challenger, Mandela Barnes, in Wisconsins Senate race, a new poll from Marquette Law School found. Barnes' lead disappeared after Johnson's campaign and Republican groups went on the attack with negative ads. Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by Refinitiv Lipper. In the states race for governor, Democratic Gov. Mandela Barnes, CBS News is projecting Johnson the winner. Marquette's August survey had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.2 percent. The registered voter sample has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.6 percentage points. Johnson has long been known as a polarizing and controversial figure in politics who made headlines for pushing drugs like hydroxychloroquine and ivermectin as early treatment options during the COVID-19 pandemic. A Fox News survey of. "No matter what anyone says, we are committed to making sure every vote is counted. Due to a planned power outage on Friday, 1/14, between 8am-1pm PST, some services may be impacted. InWisconsin's Senate race between Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic Lt. Gov. as well as other partner offers and accept our. However, the most recent polling for the race suggests that Barnes is narrowly ahead of the incumbent. "So, I think that's what I'm watching most.". 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